{"id":68916,"date":"2025-12-10T07:00:00","date_gmt":"2025-12-10T13:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.elchapucero.com\/?p=68916"},"modified":"2025-12-10T09:31:13","modified_gmt":"2025-12-10T15:31:13","slug":"inflacion-en-mexico-enfrentara-presiones-por-salario-minimo-y-aranceles-a-china-en-2026-alerta-citi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.elchapucero.com\/portal\/noticias\/economia\/inflacion-en-mexico-enfrentara-presiones-por-salario-minimo-y-aranceles-a-china-en-2026-alerta-citi\/","title":{"rendered":"Inflaci\u00f3n en M\u00e9xico enfrentar\u00e1 presiones por salario m\u00ednimo y aranceles a China en 2026, alerta Citi."},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Citi M\u00e9xico revis\u00f3 al alza su pron\u00f3stico de inflaci\u00f3n para 2026 a 4.24% (desde 3.8% previo), superando el consenso del mercado (3.95%). El principal detonante ser\u00e1 el aumento del 13% en el salario m\u00ednimo, que impactar\u00e1 directamente a 20% de los trabajadores formales y a casi la mitad de la fuerza laboral total.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A ello se suman los aranceles del 20% a importaciones chinas que representan una quinta parte del total y los incrementos fiscales a bebidas azucaradas y tabaco. Estos choques elevar\u00e1n la inflaci\u00f3n subyacente a 4.39%, la m\u00e1s persistente y dif\u00edcil de controlar.Julio Ruiz, economista jefe de Citi, advirti\u00f3 que Banxico tendr\u00e1 menos margen para recortar tasas de inter\u00e9s agresivamente, ante el riesgo de desanclaje de expectativas inflacionarias. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Otros bancos tambi\u00e9n ajustan al alza sus estimaciones.El escenario complica el poder adquisitivo de las familias y obliga a pol\u00edticas que impulsen productividad en lugar de solo alzas salariales, para evitar una espiral inflacionaria en 2026.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Citi M\u00e9xico revis\u00f3 al alza su pron\u00f3stico de inflaci\u00f3n para 2026 a 4.24% (desde 3.8% previo), superando el consenso del mercado (3.95%). El principal detonante ser\u00e1 el aumento del 13% en el salario m\u00ednimo, que impactar\u00e1 directamente a 20% de los trabajadores formales y a casi la mitad de la fuerza laboral total. A ello [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":68917,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[10235,10234,3795,628,386,3004],"class_list":["post-68916","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-economia","tag-alerta-citi","tag-aranceles-de-china","tag-banxico","tag-inflacion-2","tag-mexico-2","tag-salario-minimo"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.elchapucero.com\/portal\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/68916","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.elchapucero.com\/portal\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.elchapucero.com\/portal\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.elchapucero.com\/portal\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.elchapucero.com\/portal\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=68916"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.elchapucero.com\/portal\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/68916\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":68918,"href":"https:\/\/www.elchapucero.com\/portal\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/68916\/revisions\/68918"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.elchapucero.com\/portal\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/68917"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.elchapucero.com\/portal\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=68916"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.elchapucero.com\/portal\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=68916"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.elchapucero.com\/portal\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=68916"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}